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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • In this week's game, Breece Hall is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 94th percentile among running backs with 18.0 carries.
  • While Breece Hall has earned 57.2% of his team's carries in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in New York's ground game in this week's game at 70.7%.
  • The Titans safeties project as the 30th-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Jets to be the 10th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • New York's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially too low (and rushing stats inflated) on account of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league. We should be able to expect some correction with better weather in this game.

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