Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 1:01 PM EST

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 133.4 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
Our trusted projections expect Breece Hall to total 14.0 carries in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to run on 38.1% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).
Breece Hall has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this season, playing on 73.7% of snaps compared to just 55.3% last season.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends project as the best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.