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Breece Hall
NFL · Player Props
Breece Hall
RB · New York Jets
Carries
New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM EST
NFL Props Breece Hall Carries

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The projections expect Breece Hall to accumulate 14.7 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Among all running backs, Breece Hall grades out in the 83rd percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 48.6% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
Favors Under
  • The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The model projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.3% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
  • The the New York Jets offensive line ranks as the worst in the league last year at blocking for rushers.
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