Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Breece Hall to garner 16.2 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
Out of all running backs, Breece Hall grades out in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 55.0% of the workload in his offense's run game.

Favors Under

The New York Jets may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson.
Our trusted projections expect the Jets as the 7th-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 40.0% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Jets to call the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Jets have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 55.4 plays per game.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

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