Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 5:10 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Jets rank as the 8th-least run-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 32.1% run rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best DE corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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