Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 7th-worst group of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
The New York Jets have been faced with a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.

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