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Breece Hall

Breece Hall Carries
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends profile as the 6th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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