Breece Hall Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Breece Hall

NFL · Player Props

Breece Hall

RB · New York Jets

Carries

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Breece Hall Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends profile as the 6th-best collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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