Braxton Berrios Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Braxton Berrios

NFL · Player Props

Braxton Berrios

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Braxton Berrios Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
Braxton Berrios's 52.3% Route Participation Rate this year conveys a a meaningful progression in his air attack workload over last year's 27.9% mark.
Braxton Berrios's 2.9 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a a noteworthy progression in his receiving talent over last year's 1.2 rate.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (58.9%) vs. wideouts this year (58.9%).
The Eagles safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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