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Braxton Berrios

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects Braxton Berrios to be much more involved in his team's air attack this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.7% in games he has played).

Braxton Berrios has been among the leading wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 6.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.

Braxton Berrios has been among the bottom pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a measly 14.0 yards per game while checking in at the 14th percentile among WRs.

The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 122.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.

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