Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Braxton Berrios

NFL · Player Props

Braxton Berrios

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Braxton Berrios Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-119/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Braxton Berrios has been among the leading WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to call the 8th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have called the 4th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.1 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in the league.
Braxton Berrios has accrued a puny 13.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 20th percentile among wide receivers.
Braxton Berrios's 12.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in football: 20th percentile for wide receivers.

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