Brandon Powell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brandon Powell

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Powell

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Powell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to utilize backup QB Baker Mayfield this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Brandon Powell's 8.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 0.0.
Brandon Powell has been among the most reliable receivers in the league, hauling in an impressive 84.1% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
Brandon Powell has notched a meager 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 5th percentile among wide receivers.

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