Brandon Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Brandon Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Johnson

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 13, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
With an impressive 11.6 adjusted yards per target (90th percentile) this year, Brandon Johnson places as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL in football.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a feeble 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-lowest rate in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, conceding 6.65 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.
The Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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