Brandon Bolden Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Bolden

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Bolden Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Brandon Bolden has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Brandon Bolden has been among the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
Brandon Bolden has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among RBs, hauling in a terrific 88.1% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (73.6%) to RBs since the start of last season (73.6%).
The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.