Brandon Bolden Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Brandon Bolden

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Bolden Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-123/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Brandon Bolden has been a big part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Brandon Bolden has earned a monstrous 1.7% of his offense's air yards this year: 83rd percentile among running backs.
Brandon Bolden has been among the top running backs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 24.0 yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (73.6%) to RBs since the start of last season (73.6%).
The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.