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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Brandon Aiyuk's 51.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 43.1.

The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in football since the start of last season.

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