Brandon Aiyuk Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to accumulate 7.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 82nd percentile among WRs.
Brandon Aiyuk's 54.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 42.9.
Brandon Aiyuk's receiving talent has gotten better this year, averaging 4.4 yards per game vs a mere 3.1 last year.
Brandon Aiyuk's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 64.8% to 68.5%.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.87 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

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