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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to earn 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 55.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 42.9.
  • The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Brandon Aiyuk's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 4.6 yards per game compared to just 3.1 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) versus WRs this year (63.0%).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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