Brandon Aiyuk Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 3rd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to earn 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
Brandon Aiyuk's 55.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 42.9.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Brandon Aiyuk's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 4.6 yards per game compared to just 3.1 last year.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) versus WRs this year (63.0%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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