My Account Log Out

reorder

Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Brandon Aiyuk Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Brandon Aiyuk's 51.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 43.1.

The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Brandon Aiyuk's play as a receiver has been refined this season, totaling 4.7 yards per game vs a measly 2.7 last season.

Brandon Aiyuk's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 65.3% to 71.3%.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (68.6%) versus wide receivers this year (68.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Brandon Aiyuk Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™