Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Aiyuk has run a route on 89.1% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile among wideouts.
Brandon Aiyuk has accounted for a whopping 23.2% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 4th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Brandon Aiyuk has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a terrific 10.24 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.
Brandon Aiyuk has been among the top wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.65 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 116.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.
The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 10th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 139.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.