Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Brandon Aiyuk

NFL · Player Props

Brandon Aiyuk

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 6.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
Brandon Aiyuk has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
Brandon Aiyuk's 58.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 42.9.
Brandon Aiyuk has put up substantially more receiving yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

Favors Under

The 49ers are a big 14.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 7.31 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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