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Brandon Aiyuk

Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Brandon Aiyuk Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 69.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Brandon Aiyuk to accrue 6.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Brandon Aiyuk has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (69.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).
  • Brandon Aiyuk's 58.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 42.9.
  • Brandon Aiyuk has put up substantially more receiving yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a big 14.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has yielded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) vs. wideouts this year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 7.31 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

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