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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Bijan Robinson to garner 14.0 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • Bijan Robinson has been a more important option in his offense's running game this year (61.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (41.7%).
  • Bijan Robinson has averaged 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (78th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Falcons to be the 7th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 39.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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