My Account Log Out

reorder

Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 66.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3 points.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the projection model to run 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to garner 14.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

This year, the strong Buccaneers run defense has allowed a feeble 5.50 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 32nd-best rate in the NFL.

The Buccaneers linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.2 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

While Bijan Robinson has received 63.2% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Atlanta's ground game this week at 53.2%.

More Bijan Robinson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™