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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most run-centric team in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to accumulate 17.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • After taking on 41.7% of his team's carries last season, Bijan Robinson has played a bigger part in the running game this season, now accounting for 62.0%.
  • Bijan Robinson's 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a material improvement in his rushing proficiency over last year's 50.0 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.
  • This year, the deficient Broncos run defense has given up a massive 3.99 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 27th-highest rate in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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