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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At only 26.79 seconds per play, the Atlanta Falcons offense is positioned as the 3rd-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) last year.
  • In this game, Bijan Robinson is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.2 rush attempts.
  • The projections expect Bijan Robinson to be much more involved in his offense's run game in this game (55.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (42.2% in games he has played).
  • Bijan Robinson has picked up 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the biggest marks in football when it comes to RBs (76th percentile).
  • With a stellar tally of 3.10 yards after contact (78th percentile), Bijan Robinson rates among the strongest running backs in football last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons as the 10th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 10th-best unit in the NFL last year with their run defense.

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