Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Falcons as the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
Among all running backs, Bijan Robinson grades out in the 78th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 38.3% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
Bijan Robinson has picked up 50.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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