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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Bijan Robinson to accrue 13.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • Bijan Robinson's ground efficiency (5.54 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (82nd percentile among RBs).
  • Bijan Robinson has been among the top running backs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a terrific 3.97 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 82nd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense as the 10th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.50 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Detroit Lions safeties rank as the 4th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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