Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.1% run rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 137.0 total plays called: the highest number out of all the games this week.
The Falcons have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 61.9 plays per game.
In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by the model to finish in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.3 rush attempts.
Bijan Robinson has earned 41.1% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's LB corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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