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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to accrue 4.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Bijan Robinson is positioned as one of the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 3.6 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Bijan Robinson's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 69.8% to 94.7%.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's safety corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.

Bijan Robinson's 14.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 24.9.

When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

Since the start of last season, the daunting Carolina Panthers defense has conceded a feeble 78.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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