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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
  • With an extraordinary 69.7% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson rates as one of the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.6 per game) since the start of last season.
  • When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's collection of DTs has been exceptional since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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