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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-175/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson has run a route on 62.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

In this week's game, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the model to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.7 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.6% pass rate.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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