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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At only 26.79 seconds per play, the Atlanta Falcons offense is positioned as the 3rd-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) last year.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.7% of his offense's passing plays last year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to notch 6.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 4th-best in football last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

Bijan Robinson has been one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL among running backs, hauling in a mere 69.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.8%) vs. running backs last year (74.8%).

The Steelers linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in football last year in defending receivers.

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