Bijan Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 62.0 plays per game.
With an exceptional 67.0% Route Participation% (97th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson stands among the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to total 4.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
With a terrific 3.7 adjusted receptions per game (96th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson ranks as one of the top pass-game RBs in the league.
The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (84.7%) versus running backs since the start of last season (84.7%).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 61.5 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

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