Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
With an elite 73.6% Route Participation Rate (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Bijan Robinson places as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads in the league.
The projections expect Bijan Robinson to total 7.8 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the least pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.8% pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 27.0) to running backs since the start of last season.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown strong efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, conceding 5.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.