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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to notch 5.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With a fantastic 30.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (93rd percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson places among the leading pass-catching RBs in football.
  • Bijan Robinson's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 69.8% to 91.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • Bijan Robinson has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (-9.0 per game) than he did last season (1.0 per game).
  • Bijan Robinson's 17.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 24.9.

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