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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 60.9% of their chances: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.1 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

The model projects Bijan Robinson to garner 4.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

With a terrific 26.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (90th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson ranks among the best RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Falcons being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Bijan Robinson has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (-10.0 per game) than he did last year (1.0 per game).

Bijan Robinson's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 24.9.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

This year, the formidable Seattle Seahawks defense has conceded a puny 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-best rate in football.

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