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Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 132.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to accrue 4.4 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.Bijan Robinson profiles as one of the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging an exceptional 29.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.Bijan Robinson's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 69.8% to 94.7%.Bijan Robinson's receiving efficiency has improved this season, accumulating 7.63 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.53 figure last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.After accumulating 1.0 air yards per game last year, Bijan Robinson has fallen off this year, currently averaging -11.0 per game.Bijan Robinson's 14.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 24.9.When it comes to pass protection (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
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