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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the projection model to run 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.

In this game, Bijan Robinson is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 95th percentile among running backs with 5.2 targets.

Bijan Robinson's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a material improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 27.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3 points.

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.2 plays per game.

After accumulating 1.0 air yards per game last year, Bijan Robinson has significantly declined this year, currently pacing -9.0 per game.

Bijan Robinson's 19.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 24.9.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Falcons ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.

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