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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to earn 5.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Bijan Robinson has accrued substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • At the present time, the 9th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.
  • Bijan Robinson has totaled far fewer air yards this year (-10.0 per game) than he did last year (1.0 per game).
  • Bijan Robinson's 19.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 24.9.

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