Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.
With a sizeable 71.3% Route Participation% (99th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the league.
The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to notch 5.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

The model projects the Falcons as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This year, the formidable Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a paltry 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-smallest rate in football.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, allowing 4.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-fewest in football.

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