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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.3% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to accrue 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Bijan Robinson has been among the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an exceptional 30.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been very bad this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In regards to air yards, Bijan Robinson grades out in the lowly 9th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -7.0 per game.

The Commanders defense has yielded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 19.0) to RBs this year.

Since the start of last season, the tough Commanders defense has allowed the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a measly 5.2 yards.

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