Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Bijan Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Bijan Robinson

RB · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Falcons are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 66.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most among all teams this week.
The Falcons have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
Bijan Robinson has run a route on 66.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
In this contest, Bijan Robinson is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.
When it comes to air yards, Bijan Robinson ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a massive 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more remarkable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Falcons to be the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
With a lackluster 69.2% Adjusted Catch Rate (10th percentile) this year, Bijan Robinson rates among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs.
As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New York's LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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