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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3 points.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the projection model to run 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast Bijan Robinson to garner 14.2 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Buccaneers linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.2 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

While Bijan Robinson has received 63.2% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Atlanta's ground game this week at 53.2%.

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