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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to run on 44.3% of their chances: the 10th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.

In this contest, Bijan Robinson is forecasted by the projection model to land in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.0 rush attempts.

After taking on 41.7% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Bijan Robinson has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently making up 66.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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