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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Atlanta Falcons vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 131.9 offensive plays run: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The model projects Bijan Robinson to accumulate 16.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Bijan Robinson to be a more important option in his team's running game in this game (64.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (44.0% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

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