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Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Bijan Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most run-centric team in the league (41.4% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Falcons.

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to accumulate 17.3 rush attempts this week, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs.

After taking on 41.7% of his team's carries last season, Bijan Robinson has played a bigger part in the running game this season, now accounting for 62.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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