Ben Skowronek Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Ben Skowronek

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 1, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Skowronek Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1776/-2579).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.4% red zone pass rate.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the best in football since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Cleveland Browns defense has conceded a massive 1.10 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-worst rate in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Browns run defense has given up a puny 0.70 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are anticipated by the predictive model to call just 62.7 total plays in this contest: the 11th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers since the start of last season (a lowly 54.6 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
With a feeble 1.2% Red Zone Target Rate (14th percentile) since the start of last season, Ben Skowronek places as one of the WRs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
When talking about air yards, Ben Skowronek ranks in just the 9th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging just 5.0 per game.