Ben Skowronek Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Ben Skowronek

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Skowronek Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2678/-3900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -3-point underdog in this game.
The model projects the Steelers to be the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Steelers.
Our trusted projections expect the Steelers offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.27 seconds per snap.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Ben Skowronek has been not been very involved his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 14th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Ben Skowronek has notched a feeble 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 7th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Ben Skowronek ranks in just the 3rd percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) with a subpar 3.6 mark since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the daunting Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up a measly 0.47 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing WRs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL.