Ben Skowronek Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Ben Skowronek

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Skowronek Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2264/-3439).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3439.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (62.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Steelers.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by the model to run 64.8 total plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in football last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Last year, the deficient Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded a staggering 1.18 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing wideouts: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

Favors Under

This game's line implies a running game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Steelers last year (a lowly 53.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense last year: 10th-fewest in football.
Ben Skowronek has been been lightly used his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.3% last year, which ranks in the 13th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Ben Skowronek has compiled a feeble 4.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 7th percentile when it comes to WRs.