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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Ben Skowronek Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+389/-812).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -771 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -812.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be a more integral piece of his team's passing game near the end zone this week (15.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).
  • Ben Skowronek has put up significantly more air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
  • Ben Skowronek's 29.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 11.1.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Ben Skowronek ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.

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