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Ben Skowronek

Ben Skowronek Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

Ben Skowronek Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+334/-632).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +364 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +334.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Ben Skowronek to be a more integral piece of his team's air attack near the goal line this week (13.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).

Ben Skowronek has notched many more air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).

Ben Skowronek's 26.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 11.1.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 4th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 29.01 seconds per snap.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Ben Skowronek has not scored a TD through the air this year.

The Seattle Seahawks safeties rank as the 6th-best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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